Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000075 0.000078 0.000082 0.000086 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100
2025-02-09 0.000070 0.000075 0.000081 0.000087 0.000095 0.000103 0.000114
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000073 0.000080 0.000089 0.000099 0.000111 0.000125
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000074 0.000082 0.000093 0.000106 0.000122 0.000143
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000070 0.000079 0.000091 0.000105 0.000123 0.000147
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000067 0.000076 0.000088 0.000103 0.000122 0.000149
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000087 0.000104 0.000125 0.000156
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000065 0.000075 0.000089 0.000107 0.000132 0.000169
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000063 0.000073 0.000088 0.000107 0.000133 0.000174
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000060 0.000070 0.000084 0.000104 0.000131 0.000172
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000081 0.000100 0.000126 0.000168
2025-04-20 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000077 0.000096 0.000122 0.000164
2025-04-27 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000098 0.000127 0.000174
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000101 0.000133 0.000189
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000080 0.000104 0.000140 0.000206
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000084 0.000111 0.000154 0.000236
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000052 0.000064 0.000082 0.000109 0.000153 0.000239
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000079 0.000106 0.000150 0.000238
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000107 0.000154 0.000249
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000080 0.000110 0.000162 0.000272
2025-06-22 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000079 0.000110 0.000162 0.000279
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.000046 0.000058 0.000077 0.000106 0.000158 0.000274
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000044 0.000056 0.000073 0.000102 0.000151 0.000263